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1“...We develop a new dynamic factor model that allows us to jointly characterize global macroeconomic and financial cycles and the spillovers between them. The...”
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2by M. Ayhan Kose Christopher Otrok Eswar Prasad Published in International economic review (Philadelphia) (01.05.2012)“...We analyze the evolution of the degree of global cyclical interdependence over the period 1960—2008. Using a dynamic factor model, we decompose macroeconomic...”
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3by Claessens, Stijn Kose, M. Ayhan Terrones, Marco E Published in Journal of international economics (01.05.2012)“...This paper analyzes the interactions between business and financial cycles using an extensive database covering 44 countries for the period 1960:1–2010:4. Our...”
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4by Ayhan Kose, M Prasad, Eswar S Taylor, Ashley D Published in Journal of international money and finance (2011)“...The financial crisis has re-ignited the fierce debate about the merits of financial globalization and its implications for growth, especially for developing...”
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5“...The paper investigates the common dynamic properties of business-cycle fluctuations across countries, regions, and the world. We employ a Bayesian dynamic...”
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6by Ayhan Kose, M Otrok, Christopher Whiteman, Charles H Published in Journal of international economics (2008)“...This paper studies the changes in world business cycles during the period 1960–2003. We employ a Bayesian dynamic latent factor model to estimate common and...”
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7by Huidrom, Raju Ayhan Kose, M Matsuoka, Hideaki Ohnsorge, Franziska L Published in International finance (Oxford, England) (Spring 2020)“...The seven largest emerging market economies—China, India, Brazil, Russia, Mexico, Indonesia, and Turkey—constituted more than one‐quarter of global output and...”
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8by Ayhan Kose, M Prasad, Eswar S Terrones, Marco E Published in Journal of international money and finance (2009)“...Economic theory has identified a number of channels through which openness to international financial flows could raise productivity growth. However, while...”
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9“...We provide a comprehensive empirical characterization of the linkages between key macroeconomic and financial variables around business and financial cycles,...”
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10“...This paper examines the impact of rising trade and financial integration on international business cycle comovement among a large group of industrial and...”
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11by Helbling, Thomas Huidrom, Raju Kose, M. Ayhan Otrok, Christopher Published in European economic review (2011)“...This paper examines the importance of credit market shocks in driving global business cycles over the period 1988:1–2009:4. We first estimate common components...”
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12“...This paper studies the welfare implications of revenue-neutral trade liberalization and fiscal reform programs for developing economies using a multi-sector...”
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13by Crucini, Mario J Kose, M. Ayhan Otrok, Christopher Published in Review of economic dynamics (2011)“...We examine the driving forces of G-7 business cycles. We decompose national business cycles into common and nation-specific components using a dynamic factor...”
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14by Kose, M. Ayhan Prasad, Eswar S Terrones, Marco E Published in Journal of development economics (2009)“...In theory, one of the main benefits of financial globalization is that it should allow for more efficient international risk sharing. In this paper, we provide...”
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16“...Recent empirical research finds that pairs of countries with stronger trade linkages tend to have more highly correlated business cycles. We assess whether the...”
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17by Kose, M. Ayhan Prasad, Eswar S Terrones, Marco E Published in Journal of international economics (2006)“...The influential work of Ramey and Ramey [Ramey, G., Ramey, V.A., 1995. Cross-country evidence on the link between volatility and growth. American Economic...”
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18by Huidrom, Raju Kose, M. Ayhan Ohnsorge, Franziska L Published in Emerging markets finance & trade (15.07.2018)“...This article presents a systematic analysis of the availability and use of fiscal space in emerging and developing economies. We report two major results...”
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19by Islamaj, Ergys Kose, M. Ayhan Ohnsorge, Franziska L Ye, Lei Sandy Published in Emerging markets finance & trade (21.06.2019)“...This article investigates the drivers of investment growth in emerging market and developing economies with a focus on the most recent slowdown over the...”
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20by Arteta, Carlos Kose, M. Ayhan Stocker, Marc Taskin, Temel Published in Pacific economic review (Oxford, England) (01.02.2018)“...Over the past few years, several central banks have implemented negative interest rate policies (NIRP) to provide additional monetary policy stimulus. This...”