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1“...A crucial challenge for economists is figuring out how people interpret the world and form expectations that will likely influence their economic activity...”
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2by Evans, William David George Winters, Conchubhair Amin, Eshan Published in BMJ case reports (00000000)“...A 62-year-old man was admitted to the medical admissions ward with right thigh pain presumed to be a deep vein thrombosis (DVT). Subsequent duplex...”
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3by Evans, William David George Published in BMJ case reports (00000000)“...An 80-year-old man with papillary thyroid carcinoma of the neck underwent surgery and radioiodide therapy. He presented 11 years later with a lesion adjudged...”
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4“...We compare the performance of alternative recursive forecasting models. A simple constant gain algorithm, used widely in the learning literature, both...”
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5“...Under rational expectations and risk neutrality the linear projection of exchange-rate change on the forward premium has a unit coefficient. However, empirical...”
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6“...We examine global economic dynamics under learning in a New Keynesian model in which the interest-rate rule is subject to the zero lower bound. Under normal...”
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7“...We introduce the concept of Misspecification Equilibrium to dynamic macroeconomics. Agents choose between a list of misspecified econometric models and base...”
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8“...Commitment in monetary policy leads to equilibria that are superior to those from optimal discretionary policies. A number of interest-rate reaction functions...”
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9by Evans, George W Honkapohja, Seppo Mitra, Kaushik Published in Journal of monetary economics (2009)“...The impact of anticipated policy changes when agents form expectations using adaptive learning rather than rational expectations is considered. Agents are...”
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11“...A striking implication of the replacement of adaptive expectations by rational expectations was the “Lucas critique,” which showed that expectation parameters,...”
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12“...Forward-looking monetary models with Taylor-type interest rate rules are known to generate indeterminacies, with a potential dependence on extraneous...”
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17by Evans, William George“...This historical work is a 1917 Spalding guide to being an umpire for baseball. It was written by one of the influential umpires of the era...”
01.01.1917
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19“...We consider a linear stochastic univariate rational expectations model, with a predetermined variable, and provide alternative representations of stationary...”